Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 4.124387 4.908750 5.781168 6.820514 8.021884 9.363687 10.972466
2025-09-21 2.976617 3.978537 5.207301 6.812921 8.841948 11.305921 14.507868
2025-09-28 2.267081 3.341353 4.770281 6.783230 9.514117 13.054014 17.946751
2025-10-05 1.934411 3.093450 4.741932 7.210077 10.753289 15.587210 22.594723
2025-10-12 1.635114 2.816519 4.601361 7.422205 11.677110 17.744111 26.904447
2025-10-19 1.428432 2.631052 4.548606 7.727203 12.732666 20.146326 31.734849
2025-10-26 1.206072 2.372340 4.331939 7.732315 13.310212 21.871772 35.693492
2025-11-02 0.982901 2.065814 3.983143 7.463932 13.405991 22.846583 38.566342
2025-11-09 0.806238 1.807458 3.671978 7.205920 13.469948 23.748108 41.360668
2025-11-16 0.697617 1.658388 3.530854 7.218748 13.976215 25.381122 45.417642
2025-11-23 0.607385 1.528482 3.404017 7.235668 14.480155 27.034590 49.608748
2025-11-30 0.522675 1.392919 3.244142 7.165524 14.811076 28.405814 53.405746
2025-12-07 0.425783 1.210884 2.965102 6.833603 14.635833 28.904946 55.793276
2025-12-14 0.368215 1.110363 2.843039 6.802512 15.028829 30.446296 60.118293
2025-12-21 0.318866 1.019193 2.726492 6.765867 15.402751 31.974942 64.519282
2025-12-28 0.304516 1.018390 2.817741 7.189540 16.743375 35.403459 72.607823
2026-01-04 0.278980 0.980573 2.814516 7.400455 17.660316 38.083995 79.468122
2026-01-11 0.260790 0.960094 2.850596 7.704454 18.798638 41.267257 87.464577
2026-01-18 0.230576 0.895648 2.764496 7.709489 19.289491 43.202396 93.181892
2026-01-25 0.193348 0.798703 2.576182 7.441790 19.149294 43.853834 96.433393
2026-02-01 0.162169 0.712790 2.402122 7.184452 19.002385 44.471847 99.643608
2026-02-08 0.144160 0.668228 2.337151 7.197244 19.477941 46.413203 105.617959
2026-02-15 0.128436 0.627633 2.276816 7.214119 19.962973 48.403491 111.801901